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February 08 2010

tsalon

February 06 2010

tsalon

China's Export Focus Breeds Backlash - WSJ.com

"If China is able to overcome the obstacles, it could continue to expand its share of global exports for several more years. According to International Monetary Fund projections, if current trends continue, China's share of world exports could reach 12% by 2014, a higher portion than Japan managed at the peak of its dominance in the 1980s. But some researchers at the IMF say current trends aren't likely to continue. A paper by IMF researchers published last year suggests that for China to continue the rapid export gains of recent years, it would need to boost its share of world exports to about 20% in coming decades, an unprecedented level. The fund's researchers said China is unlikely to be able to do that without using even more government subsidies, which would further aggravate trade tensions and cause domestic economic problems."

February 04 2010

tsalon

February 02 2010

tsalon

January 31 2010

tsalon

China Battles the Information Barbarians - WSJ.com

Ian Burma: "The question, then, for Western companies, as much as for Western governments, is to decide whose side they are on: the Chinese officials who like to define their culture in a paternalistic, authoritarian way, or the large number of Chinese who have their own ideas about freedom."

January 26 2010

tsalon

January 25 2010

tsalon
tsalon

Those Worried Young People

Interviews with the CEO's of Blogbus.com, Fanfou, BTChina and Yeeyan.com all of which were blocked in China in 2009.
tsalon

January 24 2010

tsalon

China's Great Firewall impedes foreign trade

"To understand how this strategy would help Google (and Yahoo, eBay and myriad other U.S. Internet companies that have lived to regret their attempts to do business in China), it's important to understand that Google did not freely choose to build a vast physical presence - complete with office buildings, server farms and thousands of local employees - inside China. Google would have much preferred to compete in China with a Chinese-language version of its search service operating from servers and offices located safely beyond China's borders (and, in fact, Google built such a site). But Google didn't have that choice because China's firewall effectively prevented it. When not actually blocking access to offshore Web sites that censors deem objectionable, the firewall degrades the performance of Web sites based outside the country."
tsalon

How not to handle China | Jonathan Fenby | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk

"Hu and Wen have to deal with factions, lobbies and powerful state companies. For all the liberation of the goods market, the economy is still tightly controlled in key input areas, buttressing the power of entrenched interests. The Communist party knows it needs to reform itself but is terrified of the effect of doing so."

January 23 2010

tsalon

Rebalancing, Not Overheating

"The primary risk to our calls is that full-blown overheating - as envisaged under the ‘summer' scenario (featuring 12% GDP growth and 5% CPI inflation) - could materialize in the latter part of the year and thus trigger campaign-style tightening, which would result in a boom-bust cycle in the Chinese economy. This scenario, while not impossible, is not probable, in our view."
tsalon

January 18 2010

tsalon
tsalon
tsalon

Authority, Meet Technology: Will China's Great Firewall Hold? | NewAmerica.net

Wednesday, January 20, 2010 - 9:30am - 11:00am, live webcast of the event will be available on this page Wednesday morning, and a video recording will be posted after the fact.
tsalon
tsalon

WEF risk report - FT中文网

"The authors of the report said that while China appeared to have navigated the global financial crisis well, it had relied on especially high credit growth to do this, which risked mimicking the asset price bubbles and unbalanced growth of the west before the crisis."
tsalon

January 17 2010

tsalon

FT.com / Comment / Analysis - China and the west: Full circle

"Google’s decision prompts one of the simplest but furthest-reaching questions of all: how should the west deal with China? Or, to put a finer point on it, how can an international system created under Pax Americana to serve the interests of the west accommodate a rising giant that is set to remain different in almost every aspect – politics, values, history, natural endowments and per capita wealth – from the incumbent ruling order?"
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